šŸ“ˆ Record-breaking

S&P tops 5,300 in record-breaking stock rally, consumer inflation resumes downward trend fueling rate-cut bets, Biden and Trump agree to debate, Xi welcomes Putin, and GameStop, AMC tumble as meme stock rally fizzlesā€¦

Good morning.

The Fast Five ā†’ S&P tops 5,300 in record-breaking stock rally, consumer inflation resumes downward trend fueling rate-cut bets, Biden and Trump agree to debate, Xi welcomes Putin, and GameStop, AMC tumble as meme stock rally fizzlesā€¦

Calendar: (all times ET)

  • Today: Initial jobless claims, 8:30a

Your 5-minute briefing for Thursday, May 16:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 5/15/2024.

PRE-MARKET

MARKETS

  • US stocks rallied yesterday as investors digested lighter-than-expected CPI data as a signal for upcoming rate cuts

  • All three major US indexes closed at record highs

  • Fed funds futures traders are now pricing in 52 bps of rate cuts this year

  • Global stocks in Europe and elsewhere also hit record highs

  • Copper is at a record high, up 28% YTD and 14% from last week

  • US dollar fell 0.75% in its biggest one-day drop YTD to a one-month low

EARNINGS

  • Cisco Systems rose ~5% after beating Q3 earnings and revenue estimates despite reporting its largest YoY revenue drop in 15 years (link)

  • What we're watching this week:

    • Today: Walmart, JD.com

  • Full calendar here

NEWS BRIEFING

Core CPI cools for first time in six months in relief for Fed. US retail sales stall after downward revisions in prior months.

After a series of too-hot-for-comfort inflation readings to start 2024, the April Consumer Price Index finally brought some relief.

  • Hereā€™s the inflation breakdown for April 2024 (link)

  • Biden and Trump agree to debates on June 27 and Sept. 10 (link)

  • Xi welcomes Putin, says China-Russia ties should last ā€˜generationsā€™ (link)

  • Credit assets outperform for large PE firms (link)

  • PE deal machine restarts but exits still sputter (link)

  • Global corporate defaults doubled in April (link)

  • Goldman poached two bankers from Evercore and Lazard (link)

  • Chevron tops Tesla as most-shorted stock in April (link)

  • US bank failures could surge by almost 50 (link)

  • Bank of America banker who died had sought to leave over long hours (link)

  • GameStop, AMC tumble as meme stock rally fizzles after two days (link)

  • US CPI eased slightly in April to 3.4% YoY (link)

  • Japan GDP declined 2.0% YoY in Q1 (link)

  • Microsoftā€™s emissions up 30% since 2020 due to data center expansion (link)

CRYPTO

  • Two MIT-alumni brothers were arrested over a $25M cryptocurrency heist (link)

  • Wallet recovery firms buzz as locked-out crypto investors panic in bitcoin boom (link)

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